Current:Home > ContactHow to make sense of the country's stunningly strong job market -FutureFinance
How to make sense of the country's stunningly strong job market
View
Date:2025-04-16 07:22:55
The job market is defying all odds.
U.S. employers added 336,000 jobs in September, according to the Labor Department. That's about twice as many as forecasters were expecting.
The strong job growth is welcome news for anyone looking for work. But it could make the Federal Reserve's effort to bring down inflation harder.
Here are four things to know about the monthly employment snapshot.
The jobs engine is not slowing down
Instead of the slowdown that forecasters expected to see in the jobs numbers, hiring appears to be revving up. Not only did employers add an eye-popping number of jobs in September, but revised figures show that hiring was much stronger in July and August than had been reported.
Last month's job gains were broad-based with nearly every industry adding workers.
Restaurants and bars added 61,000 jobs in September and are finally back to where they were before the pandemic. Health care and education also added tens of thousands of workers last month. Even factories and construction companies continued to hire, despite the strain of rising interest rates.
The job market has implications for the Fed
The Federal Reserve is keeping a close eye on the job market as it tries to decide whether to raise interest rates even higher, in an effort to control inflation.
At its last meeting in September, policymakers appeared to be leaning toward one more rate hike this year in their quest to bring prices under control.
The strong September employment report could be a worry, but it may not be all bad from the Fed's perspective.
The main concern with hot labor market is that it could put upward pressure on wages, and threaten further inflation.
But despite the big job gains last month, wage growth remained modest. Average wages in September were up 4.2% from a year ago, and wages rose just 0.2% between August and September.
"Wage growth is cooling so this doesn't look like an inflationary job market," says Julia Coronado, president of MacroPolicy Perspectives. "It's kind of Goldilocks, actually."
The unemployment rate is still low
The unemployment rate held steady in September at 3.8%. While the jobless rate has inched up from earlier this year, it remains very low by historical standards.
The unemployment rate rose in August because hundreds of thousands of new people joined the workforce that month. That's a good sign because it suggests people are optimistic about their job prospects. And with more people working, the economy can grow without putting upward pressure on prices.
A cautionary note: the unemployment rate for African Americans rose last month from 5.3 to 5.7%. That could be a statistical fluke. The number has bounced up and down a lot in recent months. But it's something to keep an eye on.
Strike news won't show up until next month
This jobs tally was conducted in mid-September, just before the United Auto Workers strike began, so it doesn't reflect the 25,000 autoworkers who are on strike as of Friday morning, nor the several thousand additional workers who've been idled because of parts shortages tied to the strike.
The September snapshot was also taken before Hollywood writers ended their strike. Those changes could show up in the October jobs report.
veryGood! (29644)
Related
- Trump invites nearly all federal workers to quit now, get paid through September
- US Coast Guard helicopter that crashed during rescue mission in Alaska is recovered
- Greyhound bus service returns to Mississippi’s capital city
- Online scamming industry includes more human trafficking victims, Interpol says
- Angelina Jolie nearly fainted making Maria Callas movie: 'My body wasn’t strong enough'
- How the Mary Kay Letourneau Scandal Inspired the Film May December
- Vikings offensive coordinator arrested on suspicion of drunken driving
- Anne Hathaway's Stylist Erin Walsh Reveals Her Foolproof Tips for Holiday Fashion
- Pregnant Kylie Kelce Shares Hilarious Question Her Daughter Asked Jason Kelce Amid Rising Fame
- With a New Speaker of the House, Billions in Climate and Energy Funding—Mostly to Red States—Hang in the Balance
Ranking
- Selena Gomez's "Weird Uncles" Steve Martin and Martin Short React to Her Engagement
- Police in Lubbock, Texas, fatally shoot a man who officer say charged them with knives
- Should employers give workers housing benefits? Unions are increasingly fighting for them.
- Captive in a chicken coop: The plight of debt bondage workers
- Former longtime South Carolina congressman John Spratt dies at 82
- Consumer product agency issues warning on small magnetic balls linked to deaths
- How Kyle Richards, Teresa Giudice and More Bravo Stars Are Celebrating the 2023 Holidays
- We Ranked All of Meg Ryan's Rom-Coms and We'll Still Have What She's Having
Recommendation
Trump's 'stop
Military-themed brewery wants to open in a big Navy town. An ex-SEAL is getting in the way
The State Department approves the sale of tank ammunition to Israel in a deal that bypasses Congress
Red Wings captain Dylan Larkin lies motionless on ice after hit from behind
Finally, good retirement news! Southwest pilots' plan is a bright spot, experts say
Christmas queens: How Mariah Carey congratulated Brenda Lee for her historic No. 1
Smugglers are bringing migrants to a remote Arizona border crossing, overwhelming US agents
Workshop collapses in southern China, killing 6 and injuring 3